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GPC regime… weaknesses and chances of survival
Writes/ yemen fox
Published Since: One Year and 6 Months and 6 Days
Tuesday 13 December 2011 04:22 am



Mohammed Allawzi
eposide 2

Among the failures of the (GPC) policies which led to a useless vision was that they included, in their hierarchy, a group of people who only cared about their interests without showing any concern for the country the way they were concerned about finding contradictions with the real forces considering any consensus with these forces would mean that this group lose their own interests. Therefore, this group proceeded to make a break between the regime and the political, partisan pluralism, and the GPC adopted spreading the culture of incitement, violence and hatred through its official and partisan media. Thus, the prominent speech of the regime arose from the inquiry: How has the Muslim Brothers-or what he called them (the Wahhabism)- came together with the atheistic (Socialists)? With this the regime was basically thinking of distracting, disrupting and driving a wedge between the political and partisan forces rather than bringing them together.

So, the regime went ahead using the same colonialist policy based on “divide and rule”, and they should have never fell  in such a big mistake, and should have considered the JMPs, both the rightist and the leftist, as an achievement of the blessed Unity bringing together this noble alliance, and not as the regime described; an alliance of atheistic power with a terrorist one which cannot stand for long.

With such useless thinking, we find ourselves in front of a regime that did not care about the country in general as they cared about finding contradictions helping them to stay in power. A speech and culture implying such contents did not reflect at the end but a tendency to violence, chaos and fragmentation. Had the regime primarily thought of the country, they would have praised such alliance between the JMPs.

With their speech, the regime and the GPC were condemning, excluding and accusing themselves and this was the tragedy the regime did competently, to remain convicted along the history because of the ideology of oppression and disruption. As for the JMPs , they considered lining up together and overcoming the past disputes as an honorable act all people and political forces would be proud of. One of the advantages of the National Unity is that it had created great political shifts involving effective, strong and well established relationships between the rightists and  leftists which turned the moderate party, as they called themselves the (GPC), to become an eliminating and radical party with a violent ideology that sought separation and dispute among people. After this, the party fell into serious mistakes where they found themselves alone and hostile towards all the national and efficient forces.

On the other hand, the party did not work on finding public supporters and remained, under his leadership, isolated from reality and the reason policy that determines the future vision. This led to a crisis in the current situation and the absence of dialogue due to their procrastination and delay. This created a loss of confidence with regard to the so-called reforms, either at the level of state institutions that were full of corruption, or the promises of reforms in the democratic aspects and human rights, including the rejection of the proportional list, correction of the voter lists and establishing local governance with full powers
which all remained but promises the regime pledged to fulfill and did nothing on the ground. 
No doubt that losing confidence had led to a break with the national forces aggravated the crises up to the big eruption where the JMPs took the field to change squares after the GPC and their leadership refused to settle the matter through free and fair elections different than before.

On this basis, new You orientations came out to demand excluding the regime totally. As they excluded the others, now they, the regime, are in the same position as has said before “tit for tat”. This demand was developed immediately after the bloody actions committed by the regime on the “Friday of Dignity” to the degree of demanding the regime to be brought to trial and forced to sign the GCC Initiative.

We will not mention here the consequential events that followed signing the Initiative. But it’s important to mention that this initiative was totally rejected by the youth and certainly they were and still truly serious about it. It is worth here to say that the stubbornness of the regime and the GPC in implementing the GCC Initiative would definitely be a political suicide they cannot resist. Should the regime continue to obstruct the Initiative and stand against the demands of the youth, then they- the regime- would present themselves as an integrated system fully convicted, for drawing back would not result in any gains, and only going ahead with the nominal losses would be a considerable achievement which the regime should try to make the most of it.

There is no turning back as the UN House is involved in implementing the GCC Initiative, and any backward movement will lead to accusing the regime since they are known for their procrastination and delay. Within this level, the regime is requested more than anyone else to hang on implementing the Initiative completely and deal with it as a fact that cannot be escaped since the only way out of this political arena, with the nominal loses, is the awareness of the allowable from one side and the reality from the other side.

After the JMPs have found an unusual public, support from the UN House and the regional countries’ approval- which was a significant loss to the regime and his party due to lack of confidence in them- then the regime and the GPC are urged to be aware of the change and deal with the Initiative carefully based on the losses and gains. 

Any failure in implementing the GCC Initiative would be a political suicide which the regime would not accept as much as they wish to depart with the minimal losses especially if we considered that any aggravation to the situation would lead to a civil war. If so, the UN House will not stand without doing anything but will support the Youth in change squares. Many indicators have proved this and the regime should understand them carefully. Among these indicators is granting the revolutionary Tawakkul Karaman the Noble Prize for Peace; one of the most vital recognitions of the Youth Revolution.
It was obvious that the regime in Yemen was more fortunate than others as they had an initiative supported by the International Community. Any deviation from this initiative would bring forth another scenario, similar to what happened in Egypt and Libya, but resulting in more serious implications as long as it’s about Yemen and its geopolitical condition.

From the other side, the US and GCC clearly understand the civil war in Yemen and its consequences threatening their interests. They understand that war will not produce but terrorism, and non shall benefit from it except the extremist forces as (al Qaeda) and those concerned in sectarian revenge such as Iran with Saudi Arabia which, Iran, would see chaos in Yemen as a proper time enabling them to penetrate towards the northern borders adjacent to the territory of KSA. This would result in real threat to the GCC and the Arab Peninsula from East and South through the challenges that appeared strongly in Bahrain and the Eastern areas in KSA.

In any case, the Yemeni issue today concerns the whole world and the regime no longer has any presence being the first who abused his legitimacy from the first US airplane violated the airspace and sovereignty of Yemen with the consent and approval of the Yemeni regime under the pretext of pursuing terrorists and claiming they, in the regime, did that.The foreign media denied this forcing the regime to admit at last. 

In all cases, the regime remain at a very critical phase unless they seriously work on the implementation of the GCC Initiative as a solution for the deadlock they put themselves in and could not settle it. Would the regime be able to proceed with the GCC Initiative until the end? And are they aware of the terrible consequences resulting from the GCC Initiative failure?...Two questions .. tomorrow will definitely answer them.   

  
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