The Russian Ambassador in Paris last Friday's statement of "the Syrian President is ready to transfer power orderly" didn't come out of the blues. It is mostly a first message submitted from the Russians to the world, being an international authorized agent for the collapsing Syrian regime.
Although the latter denied the credibility of what the Russian Ambassador said, however all the world knows these political tricks, in terms of asking a friend to say something and then deny it, in order to know the response of others and their acceptance to what their friends say.
One expects the revival of the political solution, through the implementation of the Yemeni model on Syria, following the deathblow inflicted on Assad regime last Wednesday due to death of his head of crisis chamber Hassan al-Torkomani, Defense and Interior Ministers Daoud Rajha and Mohammed al-Sha'ar, head of the national security, Hisham Bakhtiar and the strong man of the regime Asef Shoket.
It is a blow that won't lead to the immediate collapse of the regime, but it had broken its backbone beyond recovery.
Assad had suddenly found himself deprived of his important aides who hold the important security files, foremost of these the security ones. It is not strange the Russians announce the readiness of their ally to step down, because they want to continue holding the harness of the Syrian revolution in terms of the military and political solutions.
The military and security solution had failed although the last sixteen months had aggravated the revolution scope to include all the Syrian cities.
It finally extended to the capital itself. The political solution will surely emphasize a number of Russian goals, including stopping the continuous military success of the Free Syrian Army, to control the change course which takes place, so as to preserve the Russian influence on the political solution, and to prevent the entire collapse of the Syrian regime, even if the Assad's family collapses.
The Russians seek to control the future political process in Syria effectively, in case of the activation of the Yemeni model, similar to the American control to the Yemeni one.
The Russians are not only aspiring for a foothold in the region, but they also want to satisfy their main ally, Iran.
The Americans and EU countries are expected to support the political solution, but reservations are also expected from the regional forces foremost of them Turkey and the GCC countries, as their major bets as Syrian neighbors, focus on the entire collapse of the regime, which coexisting with it or with part of it became intolerable.
The entire collapse of the regime to the regional countries will also weaken the Iranian influence, which resembles a continuous headache to these countries.
Iran is not only facing international blockade because of its nuclear file, but it is also threatened with losing one of its most important allies in the Arab region, which enables it to access to the Mediterranean. It also secures to it a great influence in Lebanon, through Hezbollah the important ally to Iran and Syria in this Arab country, which had suffered greatly from foreign intervention, depriving it from its desired political stability.
Russia has no huge economic interests in Syria. The weapon deals of the Syrian purchase to Russian weapons from one time to another, are not of economic significance in supporting the Russian economy, which enjoys abundance, making it not in need of such deals.
In spite of all this, the Russians ambitions in Syria are clearly political, security and military ones, leave alone their expression to the Russian and Iranian alliance.
This doesn't justify the continuation of the strange Russian support to the regime, which has no longer the elements for continuation. It also cannot enable them to achieve their desired success in the region, and more over it could deprive them of the last element of influence in the region.
Most of the Arab people are sympathizing with the Syrian people in their peaceful struggle and their fight with weapons for their freedom, in the face of a regime which failed in beautifying its face with a small amount of political or economic freedoms.
It is the last repressive regime in the region and its destiny will be similar to the collapse of its predecessors, either through the Arab spring revolutions or years before that.
On the other hand the west looks forward to another regime in Syria, which it can pressure for making peace with Israel, and also for curbing the Iranian influence in the region.
There is a belief that the west is watching the Arab spring with a great deep contemplation, because of the rise of the Islamists influence, at the countries whose rulers collapsed. It wants to contribute to drawing the future Syrian system's plan, although, the Muslim Brotherhood movement was keen not to dominate the political arena within the different formations of the revolution.
It issued a political document expressing the future of Syria. It was keen in making it an advanced civil document to end the fears of its allies in the opposition. It is also an important message for assuring the west.
The upcoming days will be hard on the Syrians, because they will be a political race between the political solutions that the international community wants to impose in these crucial moments and the field solution, which the Syrian Free Army skillfully achieving on the ground. With the entry of the battles into decisive stages, the chances of the bloody regime's survival dwindle and decline, but in return will increase the size of its lethality and murder against its people.
With the close coming of the victory, the national council and the free Syrian Army, should send reassurance messages to the different Syrian factions, which the regime sought to drive some of them into confrontations against the revolution. In the foremost of these is the alawis sector who should not pay the bills of the Asad regime's crimes against the Syrians.