Despite the huge achievements of the Arab spring, however there are some who believe that they are American manufacturing and just an intrigue against the Arab nation. Moreover there are others who believe that the greatest beneficiary from these revolutions is Israel.
Contrary to this view, the Israeli security elites consider that the breakout of the democratic change revolutions in the Arab world, and its prospective requires that Israel should reconsider its security ideology, and make fundamental changes on the Israeli army structure and propensity, which requires the increase in its security budget and to reshape its mechanisms so that it could respond to potential threats.
A study in this respect reviews the justifications that are given by the Israeli security apparatus to justify their demands for the military spending, following the Arab revolutions, and the aspects of accommodating these increases, in addition to the evaluation of the Israeli economists and businessmen to these demands and its impact on the Israeli economy.
The most important consequences of this study is their comparison of these Arab revolutions with the impact that resulted from Ramadan 1973 war, where these revolutions awakened what is called in Israel the 1973 syndrome.
Israeli analysts believe that the results of the democratization in the Arab world is not only limited to the huge military spending, but there are concerns that they may lead to cuts in growth rates and the emergence of economic recession which will lead to significant decline in the Israeli GDP.
This means a great increase in the security budget on the expense of the general state's budget and the GDP, which means according to these anticipations that, Israel is facing the risks of going back to the 1973 post war conditions, changing its growth into recession and the intensification of inflation.
" the anticipated increase in the security costs, following the changes in the Arab world will push Israel to pursue austerity economic measures and will force the Israeli economists to abandon their previous plans for tax reduction, in accordance with the Israeli prevailing principle which requires that when there is a differentiation between social immunity and security, priority will be given to latter option without hesitation," said Zvi Libani the economic commentator of Yediot Aharonot newspaper.
Within the aspects of the austerity policy which Libani mentioned, there is not only going to be the retreat from tax reduction, which was prevalent until the break out of the Arab revolutions, but there are also fears that Israel may resort to imposition of new taxes to meet the security demands.
It is also expected that the growing security expenditure will lead to a significant decline in the size of the national annual surplus, taking into account that this surplus is commonly used in financing the public social security benefits, especially for the weak classes.
This area will not take long, for those who question the credibility of the objectives of revolutions. They should be patient before being skeptical over it .